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HL Paper 2

A continuous random variable X has a probability density function given by

fx=arccosx 0x10otherwise

The median of this distribution is m.

Determine the value of m.

[2]
a.

Given that PX-ma=0.3, determine the value of a.

[4]
b.



A random variable X has probability density function

f ( x ) = { 3 a , 0 x < 2 a ( x 5 ) ( 1 x ) , 2 x b a b R + 3 < b 5. 0 , otherwise

 

Consider the case where  b = 5 .

Find the value of

Find, in terms of a , the probability that X lies between 1 and 3.

[4]
a.

Sketch the graph of f . State the coordinates of the end points and any local maximum or minimum points, giving your answers in terms of a .

[4]
b.

a .

[4]
c.i.

E ( X ) .

[3]
c.ii.

the median of X .

[4]
c.iii.



A continuous random variable X has the probability density function fn given by

fnx=n+1xn,     0,  0x1otherwise

where n, n0.

Show that EX=n+1n+2.

[2]
a.

Show that VarX=n+1n+22n+3.

[4]
b.



The times taken for male runners to complete a marathon can be modelled by a normal distribution with a mean 196 minutes and a standard deviation 24 minutes.

It is found that 5% of the male runners complete the marathon in less than T 1 minutes.

The times taken for female runners to complete the marathon can be modelled by a normal distribution with a mean 210 minutes. It is found that 58% of female runners complete the marathon between 185 and 235 minutes.

Find the probability that a runner selected at random will complete the marathon in less than 3 hours.

[2]
a.

Calculate T 1 .

[2]
b.

Find the standard deviation of the times taken by female runners.

[4]
c.



A Chocolate Shop advertises free gifts to customers that collect three vouchers. The vouchers are placed at random into 10% of all chocolate bars sold at this shop. Kati buys some of these bars and she opens them one at a time to see if they contain a voucher. Let P ( X = n ) be the probability that Kati obtains her third voucher on the n th  bar opened.

(It is assumed that the probability that a chocolate bar contains a voucher stays at 10% throughout the question.)

It is given that P ( X = n ) = n 2 + a n + b 2000 × 0.9 n 3 for n 3 ,   n N .

Kati’s mother goes to the shop and buys x  chocolate bars. She takes the bars home for Kati to open.

Show that P ( X = 3 ) = 0.001 and P ( X = 4 ) = 0.0027 .

[3]
a.

Find the values of the constants a and b .

[5]
b.

Deduce that P ( X = n ) P ( X = n 1 ) = 0.9 ( n 1 ) n 3 for n > 3 .

[4]
c.

(i)     Hence show that X has two modes m 1 and m 2 .

(ii)     State the values of m 1 and m 2 .

[5]
d.

Determine the minimum value of x such that the probability Kati receives at least one free gift is greater than 0.5.

[3]
e.



Iqbal attempts three practice papers in mathematics. The probability that he passes the first paper is 0.6. Whenever he gains a pass in a paper, his confidence increases so that the probability of him passing the next paper increases by 0.1. Whenever he fails a paper the probability of him passing the next paper is 0.6.

Complete the given probability tree diagram for Iqbal’s three attempts, labelling each branch with the correct probability.

[3]
a.

Calculate the probability that Iqbal passes at least two of the papers he attempts.

[2]
b.

Find the probability that Iqbal passes his third paper, given that he passed only one previous paper.

[3]
c.



A random variable X is normally distributed with mean μ  and standard deviation σ , such that P ( X < 30.31 ) = 0.1180 and P ( X > 42.52 ) = 0.3060 .

Find μ and σ .

[6]
a.

Find P ( | X μ | < 1.2 σ ) .

[2]
b.



A café serves sandwiches and cakes. Each customer will choose one of the following three options; buy only a sandwich, buy only a cake or buy both a sandwich and a cake.

The probability that a customer buys a sandwich is 0.72 and the probability that a customer buys a cake is 0.45.

Find the probability that a customer chosen at random will buy

On a typical day 200 customers come to the café.

It is known that 46 % of the customers who come to the café are male, and that 80 % of these buy a sandwich.

both a sandwich and a cake.

[3]
a.i.

only a sandwich.

[1]
a.ii.

Find the expected number of cakes sold on a typical day.

[1]
b.i.

Find the probability that more than 100 cakes will be sold on a typical day.

[3]
b.ii.

A customer is selected at random. Find the probability that the customer is male and buys a sandwich.

[1]
c.i.

A female customer is selected at random. Find the probability that she buys a sandwich.

[4]
c.ii.



Packets of biscuits are produced by a machine. The weights X , in grams, of packets of biscuits can be modelled by a normal distribution where X N ( μ ,   σ 2 ) . A packet of biscuits is considered to be underweight if it weighs less than 250 grams.

The manufacturer makes the decision that the probability that a packet is underweight should be 0.002. To do this μ is increased and σ remains unchanged.

The manufacturer is happy with the decision that the probability that a packet is underweight should be 0.002, but is unhappy with the way in which this was achieved. The machine is now adjusted to reduce σ and return μ to 253.

Given that μ = 253 and σ = 1.5 find the probability that a randomly chosen packet of biscuits is underweight.

[2]
a.

Calculate the new value of μ giving your answer correct to two decimal places.

[3]
b.

Calculate the new value of σ .

[2]
c.



A continuous random variable X has the probability density function f given by

fx=xx2+k3        0x4      0                 otherwise

where k+.

Show that 16+k-k=k16+k.

[5]
a.

Find the value of k.

[2]
b.



The following table below shows the marks scored by seven students on two different mathematics tests.

Let L1 be the regression line of x on y. The equation of the line L1 can be written in the form x = ay + b.

Let L2 be the regression line of y on x. The lines L1 and L2 pass through the same point with coordinates (p , q).

Find the value of a and the value of b.

[2]
a.

Find the value of p and the value of q.

[3]
b.

Jennifer was absent for the first test but scored 29 marks on the second test. Use an appropriate regression equation to estimate Jennifer’s mark on the first test.

[2]
c.



In Lucy’s music academy, eight students took their piano diploma examination and achieved scores out of 150. For her records, Lucy decided to record the average number of hours per week each student reported practising in the weeks prior to their examination. These results are summarized in the table below.

Find Pearson’s product-moment correlation coefficient, r, for these data.

[2]
a.

The relationship between the variables can be modelled by the regression equation D=ah+b. Write down the value of a and the value of b.

[1]
b.

One of these eight students was disappointed with her result and wished she had practised more. Based on the given data, determine how her score could have been expected to alter had she practised an extra five hours per week.

[2]
c.

Lucy asserts that the number of hours a student practises has a direct effect on their final diploma result. Comment on the validity of Lucy’s assertion.

[1]
d.

Lucy suspected that each student had not been practising as much as they reported. In order to compensate for this, Lucy deducted a fixed number of hours per week from each of the students’ recorded hours.

State how, if at all, the value of r would be affected.

[1]
e.



In a city, the number of passengers, X, who ride in a taxi has the following probability distribution.

After the opening of a new highway that charges a toll, a taxi company introduces a charge for passengers who use the highway. The charge is $ 2.40 per taxi plus $ 1.20 per passenger. Let T represent the amount, in dollars, that is charged by the taxi company per ride.

Find E(T).

[4]
a.

Given that Var(X) = 0.8419, find Var(T).

[2]
b.



The mean number of squirrels in a certain area is known to be 3.2 squirrels per hectare of woodland. Within this area, there is a 56 hectare woodland nature reserve. It is known that there are currently at least 168 squirrels in this reserve.

Assuming the population of squirrels follow a Poisson distribution, calculate the probability that there are more than 190 squirrels in the reserve.




The age, L, in years, of a wolf can be modelled by the normal distribution L ~ N(8, 5).

Find the probability that a wolf selected at random is at least 5 years old.

[2]
a.

Eight wolves are independently selected at random and their ages recorded.

Find the probability that more than six of these wolves are at least 5 years old.

[3]
b.



A biased coin is weighted such that the probability, p, of obtaining a tail is 0.6. The coin is tossed repeatedly and independently until a tail is obtained.

Let E be the event “obtaining the first tail on an even numbered toss”.

Find PE.




The random variable X has a binomial distribution with parameters n and p.
It is given that E(X) = 3.5.

Find the least possible value of n.

[2]
a.

It is further given that P(X ≤ 1) = 0.09478 correct to 4 significant figures.

Determine the value of n and the value of p.

[5]
b.



The continuous random variable X has probability density function  f given by

f ( x ) = { 3 a x , 0 x < 0.5 a ( 2 x ) , 0.5 x < 2 0 , otherwise

 

Show that  a = 2 3 .

[3]
a.

Find  P ( X < 1 ) .

[3]
b.

Given that P ( s < X < 0.8 ) = 2 × P ( 2 s < X < 0.8 ) , and that 0.25 < s < 0.4 , find the value of s.

[7]
c.



A continuous random variable X has probability density function f given by

f ( x ) = { x 2 a + b , 0 x 4 0 otherwise where  a  and  b  are positive constants.

It is given that P ( X 2 ) = 0.75 .

Eight independent observations of X are now taken and the random variable Y is the number of observations such that X 2 .

Show that a = 32 and b = 1 12 .

[5]
a.

Find E ( X ) .

[2]
b.

Find Var ( X ) .

[2]
c.

Find the median of X .

[3]
d.

Find E ( Y ) .

[2]
e.

Find P ( Y 3 ) .

[1]
f.



Rachel and Sophia are competing in a javelin-throwing competition.

The distances, R metres, thrown by Rachel can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 56.5 and standard deviation 3.

The distances, S metres, thrown by Sophia can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 57.5 and standard deviation 1.8.

In the first round of competition, each competitor must have five throws. To qualify for the next round of competition, a competitor must record at least one throw of 60 metres or greater in the first round.

Find the probability that only one of Rachel or Sophia qualifies for the next round of competition.




The random variable X has a normal distribution with mean μ = 50 and variance σ 2 = 16 .

Sketch the probability density function for X, and shade the region representing P(μ − 2σ < X < μ + σ).

[2]
a.

Find the value of P(μ − 2σ < X < μ + σ).

[2]
b.

Find the value of k for which P(μkσ < X < μ + kσ) = 0.5.

[2]
c.



Timmy owns a shop. His daily income from selling his goods can be modelled as a normal distribution, with a mean daily income of $820, and a standard deviation of $230. To make a profit, Timmy’s daily income needs to be greater than $1000.

Calculate the probability that, on a randomly selected day, Timmy makes a profit.

[2]
a.

The shop is open for 24 days every month.

Calculate the probability that, in a randomly selected month, Timmy makes a profit on between 5 and 10 days (inclusive).

[3]
b.



Consider two events A and B such that P ( A ) = k ,  P ( B ) = 3 k ,  P ( A B ) = k 2 and P ( A B ) = 0.5 .

Calculate k ;

[3]
a.

Find P ( A B ) .

[3]
b.



The weights, in grams, of individual packets of coffee can be modelled by a normal distribution, with mean 102g and standard deviation 8g.

Find the probability that a randomly selected packet has a weight less than 100g.

[2]
a.

The probability that a randomly selected packet has a weight greater than w grams is 0.444. Find the value of w.

[2]
b.

A packet is randomly selected. Given that the packet has a weight greater than 105g, find the probability that it has a weight greater than 110g.

[3]
c.

From a random sample of 500 packets, determine the number of packets that would be expected to have a weight lying within 1.5 standard deviations of the mean.

[3]
d.

Packets are delivered to supermarkets in batches of 80. Determine the probability that at least 20 packets from a randomly selected batch have a weight less than 95g.

[4]
e.



It is given that one in five cups of coffee contain more than 120 mg of caffeine.
It is also known that three in five cups contain more than 110 mg of caffeine.

Assume that the caffeine content of coffee is modelled by a normal distribution.
Find the mean and standard deviation of the caffeine content of coffee.




A random variable X has a probability distribution given in the following table.

N16/5/MATHL/HP2/ENG/TZ0/01

Determine the value of E ( X 2 ) .

[2]
a.

Find the value of Var ( X ) .

[3]
b.



The number of taxis arriving at Cardiff Central railway station can be modelled by a Poisson distribution. During busy periods of the day, taxis arrive at a mean rate of 5.3 taxis every 10 minutes. Let T represent a random 10 minute busy period.

Find the probability that exactly 4 taxis arrive during T.

[2]
a.i.

Find the most likely number of taxis that would arrive during T.

[2]
a.ii.

Given that more than 5 taxis arrive during T, find the probability that exactly 7 taxis arrive during T.

[3]
a.iii.

During quiet periods of the day, taxis arrive at a mean rate of 1.3 taxis every 10 minutes.

Find the probability that during a period of 15 minutes, of which the first 10 minutes is busy and the next 5 minutes is quiet, that exactly 2 taxis arrive.

[6]
b.



There are 75 players in a golf club who take part in a golf tournament. The scores obtained on the 18th hole are as shown in the following table.

M17/5/MATHL/HP2/ENG/TZ2/01

One of the players is chosen at random. Find the probability that this player’s score was 5 or more.

[2]
a.

Calculate the mean score.

[2]
b.



The marks achieved by eight students in a class test are given in the following list.

The teacher increases all the marks by 2. Write down the new value for

Find the mean.

[1]
a.i.

Find the standard deviation.

[1]
a.ii.

the mean.

[1]
b.i.

the standard deviation.

[1]
b.ii.

A ninth student also takes the test.

Explain why the median is unchanged.

[3]
c.



Events A and B are such that P ( A B ) = 0.95 ,  P ( A B ) = 0.6 and P ( A | B ) = 0.75 .

Find  P ( B ) .

[2]
a.

Find P ( A ) .

[2]
b.

Hence show that events A and B are independent.

[2]
c.



It is known that 56 % of Infiglow batteries have a life of less than 16 hours, and 94 % have a life less than 17 hours. It can be assumed that battery life is modelled by the normal distribution N ( μ , σ 2 ) .

Find the value of μ and the value of σ .

[6]
a.

Find the probability that a randomly selected Infiglow battery will have a life of at least 15 hours.

[2]
b.



Steffi the stray cat often visits Will’s house in search of food. Let X be the discrete random variable “the number of times per day that Steffi visits Will’s house”.

The random variable X can be modelled by a Poisson distribution with mean 2.1.

Let Y be the discrete random variable “the number of times per day that Steffi is fed at Will’s house”. Steffi is only fed on the first four occasions that she visits each day.

Find the probability that on a randomly selected day, Steffi does not visit Will’s house.

[2]
a.

Copy and complete the probability distribution table for Y.

[4]
b.

Hence find the expected number of times per day that Steffi is fed at Will’s house.

[3]
c.

In any given year of 365 days, the probability that Steffi does not visit Will for at most n days in total is 0.5 (to one decimal place). Find the value of n .

[3]
d.

Show that the expected number of occasions per year on which Steffi visits Will’s house and is not fed is at least 30.

[4]
e.



Runners in an athletics club have season’s best times for the 100 m, which can be modelled by a normal distribution with mean 11.6 seconds and standard deviation 0.8 seconds. To qualify for a particular competition a runner must have a season’s best time of under 11 seconds. A runner from this club who has qualified for the competition is selected at random. Find the probability that he has a season’s best time of under 10.7 seconds.




A discrete random variable X follows a Poisson distribution Po ( μ ) .

Show that P ( X = x + 1 ) = μ x + 1 × P ( X = x ) ,   x N .

[3]
a.

Given that P ( X = 2 ) = 0.241667  and P ( X = 3 ) = 0.112777 , use part (a) to find the value of μ .

[3]
b.



Each of the 25 students in a class are asked how many pets they own. Two students own three pets and no students own more than three pets. The mean and standard deviation of the number of pets owned by students in the class are  18 25 and  24 25  respectively.

Find the number of students in the class who do not own a pet.